MACRO / MARKET MONITOR

LIVE DATA · ZERO SPECULATION

WORLD REAL DEBT · MARKET DESKAS OF: SOURCE: FRED · IMF WEO · WORLD BANK · COINGECKO
Global Debt/GDP Ratio
347.0%
Total debt, public + private
Market Regime Score (0–100)
—
Global Public Debt Clock
Global Public Debt Clock $ 114.5T
General government gross debt
Federal DebtFRED %GDP · Quarterly observations · ~2026-04
Federal Debt0%50%100%150%58%87%107%121%2000201020202026 · LATEST
GDP Comparison · 2026 ProjectionIMF WEO
GDP Comparison · 2026 Projection$0T$10T$20T$30T$40T$31.9T$20.7T$5.1T$4.5T$4.4TUSCNDEINJP

DE·IN projected to overtake JP in 2026

US Treasury Yield CurveFRED

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Government Debt · % of GDPAs-published base values · not extrapolated
Government Debt · % of GDP0%50%100%150%200%250%49%203%69%131%103%KRJPCNUSES

KR D1 2026-01 · JP CENTRAL GROSS 2026-03 · CN CENTRAL+LOCAL 2025-12 · US FEDERAL GROSS 2026-10 · ES EDP S.13 2026-03

Debt Velocity
CountryAnnual growth
KR+8.5%/YR
JP+1.5%/YR
CN+17.0%/YR
US+6.4%/YR
ES+4.3%/YR
Market Breadth · % above moving averages

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I · MASTHEAD · 2026
South Korea's National Debt · LIVE
South Korea's National Debt · LIVE $ 979.4B
BASE2025-12-31 15:00:00 UTC
Extrapolated per second · (1 + g)^t · g=8.49% · BASE 2026-01 $ 979.4B+$ 2.5K/s
Debt per Citizen$ 19.0KEXTRAPOLATED Population 51.6M · g=-0.15% · BASE 2026-01 51.61M · Statistics Korea KOSIS Population Projection
Debt to GDP · EXTRAPOLATED48.74%EXTRAPOLATED GDP $ 2.0T · g=4.40% · BASE 2026-01 $ 2.010T · Bank of Korea National Accounts (nominal GDP)
Divided by the population, your share is $ 19.0K.IN-DEPTH ECONOMIC STORIES

United States

Up 6.4% a year, worsening
▏FEDERAL GROSS
United States FEDERAL GROSS $ 38.5T
of GDP 124.99% · EXTRAPOLATED
VS NOMINAL GDP 5.02%/yEXTRAPOLATED · IN USDBASE 2026-10 $ 40.39T · US Treasury Fiscal Data — Debt to the Penny

Spain

Up 4.3% a year, worsening
▏EDP S.13
Spain EDP S.13 $ 1.9T
of GDP 102.07% · EXTRAPOLATED
VS NOMINAL GDP 5.82%/yEXTRAPOLATED · CONVERTED AT EUR/USD 1.123BASE 2026-03 € 1.740T · Banco de España — General Government EDP Debt

China

Up 17.0% a year, worsening
▏CENTRAL+LOCAL
China CENTRAL+LOCAL $ 14.4T
of GDP 68.54% · EXTRAPOLATED
VS NOMINAL GDP 3.99%/yEXTRAPOLATED · CONVERTED AT CNY/USD 0.1496BASE 2025-12 CN¥ 96.05T · China MOF 2025 Central + Local Government Debt Final Accounts

South Korea

Up 8.5% a year, worsening
▏D1
South Korea D1 $ 979.4B
of GDP 48.74% · EXTRAPOLATED
VS NOMINAL GDP 4.40%/yEXTRAPOLATED · CONVERTED AT KRW/USD 0.0007508BASE 2026-01 ₩ 1,304.5T · MoEF National Debt (provisional)
5 COUNTRIES · 22 SERIES · 5 DEBT DEFINITIONS (LEVELS NOT DIRECTLY COMPARABLE — SORTED BY % OF GDP) · LIVE EXTRAPOLATION (BASE 2025-12~2026-10) · 4 FX RATES FROM ONE SHARED 'FX AS OF' ABOVE↓ SCROLL

II · MONUMENT

When
numbers
have time.

Debt per Citizen

Debt per Citizen $ 19.0K
Derived (computed from base series)

Household Debt per Citizen

Household Debt per Citizen $ 29.0K
Derived (computed from base series)
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III · INDICATORS

Debt to GDP

Debt to GDP 48.74%
Derived (computed from base series)

FX Rate (USD ↔ Local)

FX Rate (USD ↔ Local) $ 1,331.89
Bank of Korea Market Mid-Rate (USD/KRW)

External Debt

Up 3.4% a year, worsening
External Debt $ 826.7B
Bank of Korea External Debt Statistics

Foreign Reserves

Up 1.8% a year, improving
Foreign Reserves $ 456.2B
Bank of Korea FX Reserves

Government Revenue

Up 3.8% a year, improving
Government Revenue $ 506.9B
MoEF Total Revenue (main budget)

Government Spending

Up 4.3% a year, worsening
Government Spending $ 546.5B
MoEF Total Expenditure (main budget)

Fiscal Balance

Fiscal Balance -$ 39.6B
Derived (computed from base series)

Trade Balance

Trade Balance $ 83.3B
Derived (computed from base series)

Unemployment Rate

Unemployment Rate 2.80%
Statistics Korea Labour Force Survey

Inflation Rate

Inflation Rate 3.20%
Statistics Korea Consumer Price Index

Interest Rate

Interest Rate 2.75%
Bank of Korea Base Rate

IV · ANALYSIS

Household debt and government debt do not belong on the same scale

Both are debt, yet the two numbers break in opposite ways, because a different actor absorbs the shock. A government has slack. It refinances maturing bonds with new issuance, leans on tax revenue, and coordinates with the Bank of Korea on the timing of rate moves. None of that erases the debt, but it buys time. A household has almost none of that cushion. When the policy rate rises, next month’s payment rises with it. When a job disappears, the income is gone that month. When apartment prices slip, borrowing capacity is cut at once.

This is why adding the government figure to the household figure and calling the sum “Korea’s total debt” quietly erases the information that matters. WorldRealDebt places the Ministry of Economy and Finance’s national debt and the Bank of Korea’s household credit on one screen, yet pins a separate source and definition to each card. Public debt and private debt fail through different channels. A reader should never melt the two into a single block.

One Korea, three national-debt numbers: D1, D2, D3

The single phrase “national debt” actually nests three scopes. D1 covers the direct debt of central and local government, the narrowest measure and the one that turns up in budgets, fiscal accounts, and most domestic commentary. D2 adds the debt of non-profit public institutions to reach general government debt, which sits close to the scope the IMF uses for cross-country comparison. D3 reaches further still, folding in the debt of non-financial public corporations for the broadest reading. For the very same Korea, the ratio to GDP shifts visibly depending on which scope you pick.

WorldRealDebt runs D1 in the headline for a plain reason: it is the series cited most often in domestic fiscal debate, and the one the Ministry of Economy and Finance publishes through its Open Fiscal Data service. A narrow scope, though, also looks smaller than the whole. Liabilities lodged inside public corporations can land back on the budget in a crisis without ever showing up in D1. That is exactly why D2 and D3 belong in any serious reading of international standing or long-run sustainability.

Korean household debt reacts to rates and incomes without delay

The Bank of Korea’s household credit series splits into two parts: mortgage loans and what the statistics call sales credit, the revolving and instalment borrowing that runs through credit cards. Mortgages track interest rates and collateral values. Sales credit moves first when consumption cools and unemployment ticks up. Both sit inside the same household balance sheet, so a single outstanding figure never tells the whole story. The pace of growth and the repayment burden relative to income have to be read alongside it.

A rate cut eases the monthly squeeze, but it does not shrink the principal. When repayment deferrals and refinancing repeat, the headline delinquency rate can stay calm for a while as the strain piles up quietly underneath. The trouble tends to surface later than the surface numbers suggest. Reading the Bank of Korea’s ECOS household-credit data as a flow, not just a balance, is the only way to see that lag coming.

The live figure is an estimate, not a measurement

National debt, GDP, household credit, and population are not published every second. National debt arrives once a year, household credit and GDP each quarter, and the population projection annually. The number ticking upward on screen is therefore not something an agency measured at that instant. WorldRealDebt takes the most recent official snapshot as a base value and fills the gap between releases by applying the published annual growth rate along the time axis.

The formula is value(t) = base × (1 + g)^t. It places your current position intuitively, yet it cannot claim to equal the confirmed official figure. For an article or a research note, a fixed-date snapshot paired with its source travels better than a screenshot. The point of a debt clock is not to replace official statistics. It is to give a sense of time to numbers that otherwise sit frozen between releases.

Sources: Bank of Korea ECOS household credit; Ministry of Economy and Finance Open Fiscal Data national debt; Statistics Korea KOSIS population and prices; Korea International Trade Association (KITA) K-stat trade. The base date and official source for each indicator are listed on the Korea sources page.

Interest costs and demographics: The future tax and welfare dilemma

Issuing government bonds during the low-interest-rate era seemed almost painless, but once bond yields reset higher, the pace of interest expense begins to squeeze the budget far faster than the headline debt stock implies. When maturing treasury bonds are refinanced at yields in the 3% range rather than 1-2%, annual interest service demands trillions of won in mandatory outlays. Unlike infrastructure or education outlays, interest payments generate no new public wealth; they are purely the carrying cost of past borrowing.

Compounding this is Korea’s unprecedented pace of demographic aging and fertility decline. The working-age population paying income and corporate taxes shrinks each year, while legally mandated outlays for public pensions, national health insurance subsidies, and elderly benefits expand relentlessly. When the denominator of fiscal capacity—potential GDP growth—moderates while the numerator of accumulated liabilities and interest costs climbs, the burden concentrates squarely on the shrinking cohorts of tomorrow. That arithmetic is precisely why this debt clock pairs aggregate debt with the debt-per-citizen metric.

Foreign reserves and monetary sovereignty: Balancing won debt with external buffers

The vast majority of Korea’s national debt is denominated in Korean won. A negligible foreign-currency bond share sharply mitigates the risk of an emerging-market style liquidity crisis or immediate sovereign default triggered by currency depreciation. Yet the won is neither a global reserve currency like the dollar or euro, nor does it enjoy the historical haven status of the Japanese yen. In a small, open economy heavily integrated with global trade, capital flows and currency volatility can still reverberate through domestic credit markets.

Consequently, the Bank of Korea’s foreign exchange reserves exceeding $400 billion and the nation’s recurring current account surpluses form an indispensable bulwark anchoring the credibility of won-denominated debt. Evaluating the sovereign ledger without tracking external debt ratios and foreign liquidity provides only a partial picture. This is precisely why WorldRealDebt displays live exchange rates in the header and anchors foreign reserves and trade balances inside the primary indicator matrix.

Household Sovereign Debt Share Calculator

Estimate your household share of national debt and annual sovereign interest payments based on official data.

Select Economy
Household Size
Calculation Perimeter
Household Debt Share₩ 95.8M
Est. Annual Interest Burden₩ 2.2M/yr
Real-time Increase Rate+₩0.21/sec
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V · COMMUNITY

Polls, predictions and reactions show how readers interpret the numbers. Participation is anonymous, predictions are scored against the official figure once it is published, and only aggregated results are ever shown.

Prediction Game

Predict where this indicator will land at the next official release. After publication we compare every guess with the actual figure and show your error and rank.

INTERMEZZO
"Debt is a debt of time."
— Curator's note